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Crypto · price-structure setup
Support bounce on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the support bounce showed up 56 times. The target came first 32% of the time, the stop 59%, and 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 3 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 16 | 44% | 38% | 19% |
| Hourly | 37 | 30% | 65% | 5% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 56 | 32% | 59% | 9% |
| All Crypto charts | 2,180 | 34% | 55% | 11% |
| Every market | 2,910 | 35% | 56% | 10% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 9 | 44% | 56% |
| 2022 | 9 | 33% | 44% |
| 2023 | 7 | 43% | 43% |
| 2024 | 14 | 21% | 71% |
| 2025 | 12 | 17% | 75% |
| 2026 | 5 | 60% | 40% |
The last 8 times
- 3 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
- 2 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 5 candles
- 2 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 6 candles
- 12 May 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 23 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 21 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 19 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 3 candles
- 16 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the support bounce is
Price fell back to a level that stopped it before, and bounced again.
Drop a ball and it bounces off the floor. Support is a price floor where falls stopped before, because buyers were waiting there. A support bounce is when price comes back down to that floor and bounces up again.
The full support bounce lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The support bounce elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave
Questions
How often does the support bounce work on Bitcoin?
In 56 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 32% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the support bounce?
Price fell back to a level that stopped it before, and bounced again.