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US stock market · indicator signal
Volume profile bounce on Dow Jones
On Dow Jones the volume profile bounce showed up 107 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 56%, and 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Dow Jones: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 40 | 35% | 60% | 5% |
| Hourly | 67 | 39% | 54% | 7% |
Dow Jones against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 107 | 37% | 56% | 7% |
| All US stock market charts | 3,598 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
| Every market | 61,330 | 36% | 58% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2020 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2021 | 3 | 0% | 67% |
| 2022 | 8 | 25% | 75% |
| 2023 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2024 | 7 | 86% | 14% |
| 2025 | 46 | 50% | 39% |
| 2026 | 28 | 14% | 82% |
The last 8 times
- 7 Oct 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 22 Sep 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 25 Aug 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 10 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 15 Jul 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 14 Jul 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 9 Jul 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile bounce is
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.
Imagine a market stall where most shoppers agreed on a fair price all week. When the price drops back to that fair price, shoppers who know it is a good deal rush in, and the price climbs again. The point of control is the price where the most trading happened, and a volume profile bounce is when price falls back to or near it and bounces up.
The full volume profile bounce lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Dow Jones
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Doji · Spinning top · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The volume profile bounce elsewhere
S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sony · Gold · Silver · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the volume profile bounce work on Dow Jones?
In 107 cases on Dow Jones, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 56%; 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile bounce?
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.