Markets › S&P 500 › Volume profile bounce
US stock market · indicator signal
Volume profile bounce on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the volume profile bounce showed up 99 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 61%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 48 | 40% | 58% | 2% |
| Hourly | 51 | 35% | 63% | 2% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 99 | 37% | 61% | 2% |
| All US stock market charts | 3,598 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
| Every market | 61,330 | 36% | 58% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2017 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2018 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2019 | 6 | 67% | 33% |
| 2020 | 4 | 75% | 0% |
| 2021 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
| 2022 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2023 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
| 2024 | 5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2025 | 25 | 40% | 60% |
| 2026 | 30 | 33% | 63% |
The last 8 times
- 18 Sep 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 31 Aug 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 17 Aug 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 7 Aug 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 7 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 31 Jul 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 30 Jul 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · target first after 8 candles
- 22 Jul 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile bounce is
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.
Imagine a market stall where most shoppers agreed on a fair price all week. When the price drops back to that fair price, shoppers who know it is a good deal rush in, and the price climbs again. The point of control is the price where the most trading happened, and a volume profile bounce is when price falls back to or near it and bounces up.
The full volume profile bounce lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The volume profile bounce elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sony · Gold · Silver · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the volume profile bounce work on S&P 500?
In 99 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile bounce?
Price fell back to the price where the most trading happened, and bounced.