Forex · forex
EUR/USD chart patterns
We ran 54 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over EUR/USD (daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024) and counted 6,832 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.
Best on EUR/USD: bullish harami (51% of 78), bollinger breakout down (50% of 74), atr expansion up (49% of 35). Weakest: piercing line (21% of 52), hanging man (25% of 40), bearish marubozu (26% of 73). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.
Buy and sell setups, ranked
| Pattern | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish harami | 78 | 51% | 38% | 10% |
| Bollinger breakout down | 74 | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| ATR expansion up | 35 | 49% | 51% | 0% |
| Bollinger breakout up | 63 | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Fibonacci bounce up | 103 | 47% | 50% | 4% |
| Shooting star | 71 | 46% | 49% | 4% |
| ATR expansion down | 49 | 45% | 53% | 2% |
| Fibonacci bounce down | 111 | 43% | 50% | 6% |
| Golden cross | 45 | 40% | 58% | 2% |
| Inverted hammer | 53 | 40% | 53% | 8% |
| Hammer | 56 | 39% | 46% | 14% |
| Tweezer bottom | 67 | 39% | 52% | 9% |
| MACD bearish cross | 307 | 39% | 51% | 10% |
| Double top | 34 | 38% | 56% | 6% |
| Stochastic bullish cross | 663 | 37% | 55% | 8% |
| Bullish engulfing | 123 | 37% | 50% | 13% |
| RSI oversold bounce | 179 | 36% | 49% | 15% |
| Bearish harami | 83 | 36% | 53% | 11% |
| Bearish engulfing | 119 | 35% | 50% | 14% |
| Stochastic bearish cross | 606 | 35% | 55% | 10% |
| MACD bullish cross | 361 | 34% | 58% | 9% |
| EMA 9/21 bearish cross | 304 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
| Bullish marubozu | 97 | 33% | 57% | 10% |
| EMA 9/21 bullish cross | 299 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
| Death cross | 43 | 33% | 56% | 12% |
| Dark cloud cover | 45 | 29% | 62% | 9% |
| Tweezer top | 59 | 29% | 51% | 20% |
| RSI overbought drop | 195 | 29% | 55% | 16% |
| Bearish marubozu | 73 | 26% | 67% | 7% |
| Hanging man | 40 | 25% | 68% | 8% |
| Piercing line | 52 | 21% | 65% | 13% |
Neutral patterns
| Pattern | Found | Broke up | Broke down | Stayed inside |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inside bar | 1,329 | 48% | 48% | 3% |
| Doji | 377 | 48% | 51% | 2% |
| Spinning top | 467 | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
Learn to read EUR/USD charts
- Forex: pairs, pips and sessionsA currency pair shows how much of the second currency buys one unit of the first, and a pip is a tiny standard step used to measure its moves.
- What one candle tells youEvery candle shows four prices: where it started, its highest, its lowest and where it finished.
- Bodies and wicks: the tug of warA big body means one side won; a long wick means a push that got pushed back.
- The hammerA hammer after a fall shows sellers pushed hard but buyers pushed the price back up.
- Rule one: stay in the gameLose half your money and you must double what is left just to get back to the start.
- The stop-loss: decide your exit firstA stop-loss is the price where your idea is wrong, and you choose it before you enter.
More Forex charts
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · EUR/INR · USD/INR
Questions
Which pattern worked best on EUR/USD?
In our count the bullish harami reached its target first most often on EUR/USD: 51% of 78 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.
Which candlestick pattern works best on EUR/USD?
The bullish harami: target first 51% of 78 times on EUR/USD.
How were these numbers counted?
Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.