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Commodities · indicator signal
Volume profile rejection on Natural gas
On Natural gas the volume profile rejection showed up 38 times. The target came first 24% of the time, the stop 63%, and 13% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Natural gas futures: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 16 | 31% | 62% | 6% |
| Hourly | 22 | 18% | 64% | 18% |
Natural gas against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas | 38 | 24% | 63% | 13% |
| All Commodities charts | 470 | 33% | 59% | 7% |
| Every market | 63,359 | 37% | 56% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2024 | 8 | 38% | 50% |
| 2025 | 26 | 15% | 69% |
The last 8 times
- 16 Oct 2025 · daily · stop first after 2 candles
- 11 Sep 2025 · daily · stop first after 3 candles
- 26 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 15 Jul 2025, 05:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
- 15 Jul 2025, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 9 candles
- 3 Jul 2025 · daily · went nowhere
- 12 Jun 2025 · daily · stop first after 2 candles
- 11 Jun 2025 · daily · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the volume profile rejection is
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.
Imagine walking back up to the busiest stall on a market street, only to find a crowd blocking the way, so you turn back. A volume profile rejection is when price rises back to or near the point of control, the price with the most trading, and gets pushed down again.
The full volume profile rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Natural gas
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Doji · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Volume profile bounce · RSI overbought drop · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The volume profile rejection elsewhere
Gold · Silver · Crude oil · Copper · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Sony · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the volume profile rejection work on Natural gas?
In 38 cases on Natural gas, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 24% of the time and the stop came first 63%; 13% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the volume profile rejection?
Price rose back to the price where the most trading happened, and turned down.