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Natural gas chart patterns

We ran 54 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over Natural gas futures (daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024) and counted 782 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.

Best on Natural gas: macd bullish cross (47% of 32), rsi overbought drop (41% of 32), stochastic bullish cross (39% of 64). Weakest: macd bearish cross (20% of 41), volume profile rejection (24% of 38), volume profile bounce (30% of 33). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.

Buy and sell setups, ranked

PatternFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
MACD bullish cross3247%53%0%
RSI overbought drop3241%53%6%
Stochastic bullish cross6439%55%6%
EMA 9/21 bearish cross3238%47%16%
EMA 9/21 bullish cross2934%62%3%
Stochastic bearish cross7731%64%5%
Volume profile bounce3330%61%9%
Volume profile rejection3824%63%13%
MACD bearish cross4120%71%10%

Neutral patterns

PatternFoundBroke upBroke downStayed inside
Spinning top4459%39%2%
Inside bar9054%44%1%
Doji6040%58%2%

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

Learn to read Natural gas charts

  1. Commodities: futures, contract sizes and expiryA commodity future is a deal for a fixed amount of something, like 1,000 barrels of oil, on a set future date.
  2. What one candle tells youEvery candle shows four prices: where it started, its highest, its lowest and where it finished.
  3. Bodies and wicks: the tug of warA big body means one side won; a long wick means a push that got pushed back.
  4. The hammerA hammer after a fall shows sellers pushed hard but buyers pushed the price back up.
  5. Rule one: stay in the gameLose half your money and you must double what is left just to get back to the start.
  6. The stop-loss: decide your exit firstA stop-loss is the price where your idea is wrong, and you choose it before you enter.

More Commodities charts

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Questions

Which pattern worked best on Natural gas?

In our count the macd bullish cross reached its target first most often on Natural gas: 47% of 32 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.

How were these numbers counted?

Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.