Markets › Nikkei 225 › Fibonacci bounce down
Japanese stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Nikkei 225
On Nikkei 225 the fibonacci bounce down showed up 70 times. The target came first 40% of the time, the stop 56%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Nikkei 225: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 30 | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Hourly | 40 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
Nikkei 225 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 70 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
| All Japanese stock market charts | 255 | 31% | 64% | 5% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3 | 0% | 33% |
| 2021 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2023 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| 2024 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 32 | 44% | 56% |
| 2026 | 15 | 33% | 60% |
The last 8 times
- 1 Sep 2026, 11:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 19 Aug 2026 · daily · went nowhere
- 30 Jul 2026, 11:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 21 Jul 2026, 13:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 6 Jul 2026, 09:00 JST · hourly · target first after 7 candles
- 1 Jul 2026, 13:00 JST · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 30 Jun 2026, 14:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 30 Jun 2026, 09:00 JST · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Nikkei 225
Inside bar · Gap up · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap down · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Sony · Toyota · SoftBank · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Nikkei 225?
In 70 cases on Nikkei 225, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 40% of the time and the stop came first 56%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.