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US stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Dow Jones
On Dow Jones the fibonacci bounce down showed up 35 times. The target came first 34% of the time, the stop 63%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Dow Jones: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 18 | 44% | 50% | 6% |
| Hourly | 17 | 24% | 76% | 0% |
Dow Jones against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 35 | 34% | 63% | 3% |
| All US stock market charts | 1,504 | 37% | 60% | 4% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2022 | 3 | 67% | 0% |
| 2024 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 2025 | 16 | 38% | 62% |
| 2026 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
The last 8 times
- 28 Aug 2026 · daily · target first after 2 candles
- 10 Jul 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 10 Jul 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 8 Jan 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 8 Jan 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 23 Oct 2025, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 13 Oct 2025, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 8 Oct 2025, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Dow Jones
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Doji · Spinning top · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Dow Jones?
In 35 cases on Dow Jones, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 34% of the time and the stop came first 63%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.