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Forex · price-structure setup
Resistance rejection on NZD/USD
On NZD/USD the resistance rejection showed up 26 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 62%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on NZD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 25% | 75% | 0% |
| Hourly | 22 | 36% | 59% | 5% |
NZD/USD against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | 26 | 35% | 62% | 4% |
| All Forex charts | 211 | 35% | 55% | 9% |
| Every market | 2,889 | 36% | 56% | 8% |
The last 8 times
- 1 Sep 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 28 May 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 11 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 22 Apr 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 22 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 9 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 9 Mar 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 9 Mar 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the resistance rejection is
Price rose back to a level that stopped it before, and turned down again.
Throw a ball up in a room and it bounces off the ceiling and falls. Resistance is a price ceiling where rises stopped before, because sellers were waiting there. A resistance rejection is when price climbs back to that ceiling and gets pushed down again.
The full resistance rejection lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on NZD/USD
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI oversold bounce · all of them
The resistance rejection elsewhere
EUR/JPY · GBP/JPY · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the resistance rejection work on NZD/USD?
In 26 cases on NZD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 62%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the resistance rejection?
Price rose back to a level that stopped it before, and turned down again.