Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Optimism
On Optimism the breakout showed up 51 times. The target came first 45% of the time, the stop 53%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Optimism (OP/USDT): daily candles from June 2022, 4-hour candles from June 2022 and hourly candles from June 2022.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 6 | 83% | 17% | 0% |
| Hourly | 43 | 37% | 60% | 2% |
Optimism against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimism | 51 | 45% | 53% | 2% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 12 | 42% | 50% |
| 2023 | 10 | 40% | 60% |
| 2024 | 11 | 45% | 55% |
| 2025 | 12 | 58% | 42% |
| 2026 | 6 | 33% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 7 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 26 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 15 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 5 candles
- 2 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 24 Nov 2025, 05:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 12 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Optimism
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Optimism?
In 51 cases on Optimism, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 45% of the time and the stop came first 53%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.