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US stock market · indicator signal

EMA 9/21 bullish cross on S&P 500

On S&P 500 the ema 9/21 bullish cross showed up 112 times. The target came first 46% of the time, the stop 42%, and 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily5042%40%18%
Hourly6248%44%8%

S&P 500 against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
S&P 50011246%42%12%
All US stock market charts3,55442%53%5%
Every market52,90637%56%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016729%57%
2017520%60%
2018633%50%
2019450%0%
20203100%0%
2021540%40%
2022450%50%
2023450%50%
2024933%44%
20253551%37%
20263047%47%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the ema 9/21 bullish cross is

The fast 9-period average crossed above the slower 21-period average.

Imagine two runners on a track, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner passes the steady one, it shows things have sped up lately. An EMA 9/21 bullish cross is when the quick 9-period average climbs above the steadier 21-period average.

The full ema 9/21 bullish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on S&P 500

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them

The ema 9/21 bullish cross elsewhere

Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the ema 9/21 bullish cross work on S&P 500?

In 112 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 46% of the time and the stop came first 42%; 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the ema 9/21 bullish cross?

The fast 9-period average crossed above the slower 21-period average.