Markets › S&P 500 › Stochastic bearish cross
US stock market · indicator signal
Stochastic bearish cross on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the stochastic bearish cross showed up 429 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 62%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 241 | 34% | 65% | 1% |
| Hourly | 188 | 37% | 60% | 4% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 429 | 35% | 62% | 2% |
| All US stock market charts | 9,954 | 36% | 61% | 3% |
| Every market | 108,296 | 36% | 58% | 7% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | 30% | 60% |
| 2017 | 23 | 9% | 91% |
| 2018 | 20 | 50% | 50% |
| 2019 | 27 | 26% | 74% |
| 2020 | 26 | 31% | 69% |
| 2021 | 26 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 14 | 36% | 64% |
| 2023 | 23 | 30% | 70% |
| 2024 | 38 | 26% | 71% |
| 2025 | 129 | 34% | 62% |
| 2026 | 83 | 47% | 51% |
The last 8 times
- 22 Sep 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 21 Sep 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 18 Sep 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
- 11 Sep 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 3 Sep 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 28 Aug 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 27 Aug 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 17 Aug 2026 · daily · target first after 11 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the stochastic bearish cross is
Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.
Imagine a swing that has gone as high as it can and starts to come back. A stochastic above 80 means price closed near the top of its recent range. A bearish cross there hints the swing may be turning back down.
The full stochastic bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The stochastic bearish cross elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the stochastic bearish cross work on S&P 500?
In 429 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 62%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the stochastic bearish cross?
Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.