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US stock market · indicator signal

EMA 9/21 bearish cross on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the ema 9/21 bearish cross showed up 114 times. The target came first 46% of the time, the stop 54%, and 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily4736%62%2%
Hourly6752%48%0%

SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
SPDR S&P 500 ETF11446%54%1%
All US stock market charts3,52739%58%3%
Every market52,98637%55%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016520%80%
2017425%75%
2018757%43%
2019367%33%
202030%100%
2021425%75%
2022560%20%
2023367%33%
2024922%78%
20253644%56%
20263557%43%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the ema 9/21 bearish cross is

The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.

Imagine two runners, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner falls behind the steady one, it shows things have slowed down lately. An EMA 9/21 bearish cross is when the quick 9-period average drops below the steadier 21-period average.

The full ema 9/21 bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · RSI overbought drop · Volume profile bounce · all of them

The ema 9/21 bearish cross elsewhere

Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the ema 9/21 bearish cross work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

In 114 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 46% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the ema 9/21 bearish cross?

The fast 9-period average crossed below the slower 21-period average.