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US stock market · indicator signal

Stochastic bearish cross on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the stochastic bearish cross showed up 432 times. The target came first 36% of the time, the stop 61%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily24234%65%1%
Hourly19038%57%5%

SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
SPDR S&P 500 ETF43236%61%3%
All US stock market charts9,95436%61%3%
Every market108,29636%58%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
20162129%67%
20172516%84%
20182050%50%
20192821%79%
20202631%69%
20212552%48%
20221436%64%
20232330%70%
20243135%65%
202513434%60%
20268548%49%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the stochastic bearish cross is

Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.

Imagine a swing that has gone as high as it can and starts to come back. A stochastic above 80 means price closed near the top of its recent range. A bearish cross there hints the swing may be turning back down.

The full stochastic bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Inside bar · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · RSI overbought drop · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · all of them

The stochastic bearish cross elsewhere

Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the stochastic bearish cross work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

In 432 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 36% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the stochastic bearish cross?

Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.