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US stock market · indicator signal
RSI overbought drop on SPDR S&P 500 ETF
On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the rsi overbought drop showed up 133 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 60%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 67 | 33% | 66% | 1% |
| Hourly | 66 | 44% | 55% | 2% |
SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 133 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| All US stock market charts | 3,618 | 37% | 60% | 3% |
| Every market | 36,014 | 34% | 58% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 0% | 67% |
| 2017 | 10 | 40% | 60% |
| 2019 | 9 | 22% | 78% |
| 2020 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2021 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
| 2023 | 9 | 22% | 78% |
| 2024 | 9 | 56% | 44% |
| 2025 | 45 | 38% | 60% |
| 2026 | 32 | 44% | 56% |
The last 8 times
- 6 Oct 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 5 Oct 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 22 Sep 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 22 Sep 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 3 Sep 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 28 Aug 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 13 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 5 Aug 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the rsi overbought drop is
RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.
Run up a hill as fast as you can and soon you need a breather. RSI is a gauge from 0 to 100 that shows how hard price has been pushed lately. Above 70 means price was pushed up very hard, and dropping back below 70 hints the buyers may be tiring.
The full rsi overbought drop lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · all of them
The rsi overbought drop elsewhere
Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the rsi overbought drop work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
In 133 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 60%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the rsi overbought drop?
RSI rose above 70, then fell back below it. Buying may be tiring.