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SPDR S&P 500 ETF chart patterns
We ran 59 candlestick patterns, chart patterns and indicator signals over SPDR S&P 500 ETF (daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024) and counted 3,556 cases. Here is how often each one reached its target before its stop.
Best on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: volume profile bounce (51% of 116), ema 9/21 bullish cross (46% of 114), ema 9/21 bearish cross (46% of 114). Weakest: bollinger breakout down (22% of 27), bearish marubozu (27% of 37), tweezer bottom (29% of 24). Most patterns hit the stop more often than the target: that is why the app teaches context and risk, not single signals.
Buy and sell setups, ranked
| Pattern | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume profile bounce | 116 | 51% | 47% | 3% |
| EMA 9/21 bullish cross | 114 | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| EMA 9/21 bearish cross | 114 | 46% | 54% | 1% |
| Tweezer top | 20 | 45% | 55% | 0% |
| Hanging man | 37 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
| Stochastic bullish cross | 218 | 43% | 54% | 3% |
| Gap up | 228 | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Bullish harami | 34 | 41% | 59% | 0% |
| Bearish engulfing | 54 | 41% | 59% | 0% |
| Gap down | 192 | 40% | 60% | 0% |
| MACD bullish cross | 110 | 40% | 51% | 9% |
| Bullish marubozu | 35 | 40% | 51% | 9% |
| RSI overbought drop | 133 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| Bullish engulfing | 29 | 38% | 59% | 3% |
| Bollinger breakout up | 29 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
| Volume profile rejection | 115 | 37% | 63% | 1% |
| RSI oversold bounce | 74 | 36% | 58% | 5% |
| Piercing line | 22 | 36% | 64% | 0% |
| Stochastic bearish cross | 432 | 36% | 61% | 3% |
| MACD bearish cross | 186 | 34% | 66% | 0% |
| Fibonacci bounce down | 54 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| OBV bearish divergence | 24 | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Fibonacci bounce up | 46 | 33% | 65% | 2% |
| Hammer | 26 | 31% | 69% | 0% |
| Tweezer bottom | 24 | 29% | 67% | 4% |
| Bearish marubozu | 37 | 27% | 73% | 0% |
| Bollinger breakout down | 27 | 22% | 70% | 7% |
Neutral patterns
| Pattern | Found | Broke up | Broke down | Stayed inside |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doji | 151 | 56% | 44% | 1% |
| Inside bar | 495 | 54% | 45% | 0% |
| Spinning top | 186 | 51% | 47% | 2% |
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
Learn to read SPDR S&P 500 ETF charts
- United States: stocks, ETFs and extended hoursUS stocks trade mainly from 9:30 to 4:00 New York time, with thinner trading before and after.
- What one candle tells youEvery candle shows four prices: where it started, its highest, its lowest and where it finished.
- Bodies and wicks: the tug of warA big body means one side won; a long wick means a push that got pushed back.
- The hammerA hammer after a fall shows sellers pushed hard but buyers pushed the price back up.
- Rule one: stay in the gameLose half your money and you must double what is left just to get back to the start.
- The stop-loss: decide your exit firstA stop-loss is the price where your idea is wrong, and you choose it before you enter.
More US stock market charts
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Questions
Which pattern worked best on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
In our count the volume profile bounce reached its target first most often on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: 51% of 116 cases. No pattern works every time; past odds are not a forecast.
Which candlestick pattern works best on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
The tweezer top: target first 45% of 20 times on SPDR S&P 500 ETF.
How were these numbers counted?
Every case enters at the signal candle's close with a target 1.5 × ATR(14) away and a stop 1 × ATR(14) away, and gets 12 candles to reach one of them. Only clean stretches of real sessions are used.