Crypto · chart pattern
Bear flag on Stellar
On Stellar the bear flag showed up 37 times. The target came first 22% of the time, the stop 73%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Stellar (XLM/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 4 | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Hourly | 32 | 22% | 75% | 3% |
Stellar against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar | 37 | 22% | 73% | 5% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,310 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| Every market | 2,071 | 34% | 60% | 6% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 2022 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
| 2024 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
| 2025 | 11 | 18% | 82% |
| 2026 | 9 | 33% | 44% |
The last 8 times
- 7 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 16 Sep 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 9 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 6 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 29 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
- 16 May 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 29 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 12 candles
- 30 Jan 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bear flag is
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.
Imagine sliding fast down a hill, stopping for a moment to catch your breath, then sliding again. A bear flag is like that: a fast fall called the pole, then a small, calm pause called the flag. When price breaks out of the bottom of the flag, the next slide may be starting.
The full bear flag lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Stellar
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The bear flag elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the bear flag work on Stellar?
In 37 cases on Stellar, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 22% of the time and the stop came first 73%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bear flag?
A fast fall, a short calm pause, then price breaks down out of the pause.