Crypto · price-structure setup
Breakout on Toncoin
On Toncoin the breakout showed up 30 times. The target came first 50% of the time, the stop 47%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Toncoin (TON/USDT): daily candles from August 2024, 4-hour candles from August 2024 and hourly candles from August 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Hourly | 29 | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Toncoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toncoin | 30 | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| All Crypto charts | 1,779 | 40% | 57% | 4% |
| Every market | 2,252 | 40% | 56% | 4% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7 | 43% | 57% |
| 2025 | 17 | 59% | 41% |
| 2026 | 6 | 33% | 50% |
The last 8 times
- 8 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 18 May 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 20 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 20 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 3 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 3 Feb 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 7 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 2 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the breakout is
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.
Imagine a crowd pushing on a stuck door until it finally bursts open. A breakout is when price pushes through a ceiling that stopped it before and closes above it. Lots of trading at that moment is like a big crowd pushing together.
The full breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Toncoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The breakout elsewhere
Ethereum · Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot
Questions
How often does the breakout work on Toncoin?
In 30 cases on Toncoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 50% of the time and the stop came first 47%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the breakout?
Price closed above resistance on strong volume. The ceiling broke.