Markets › Nasdaq 100 › Fibonacci bounce down
US stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Nasdaq 100
On Nasdaq 100 the fibonacci bounce down showed up 48 times. The target came first 60% of the time, the stop 38%, and 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Nasdaq 100: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 14 | 71% | 29% | 0% |
| Hourly | 34 | 56% | 41% | 3% |
Nasdaq 100 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 | 48 | 60% | 38% | 2% |
| All US stock market charts | 1,504 | 37% | 60% | 4% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 100% | 0% |
| 2022 | 9 | 78% | 22% |
| 2025 | 21 | 52% | 43% |
| 2026 | 13 | 62% | 38% |
The last 8 times
- 11 Aug 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 11 Aug 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 7 Aug 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 20 Jul 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 8 candles
- 6 Jul 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 6 Jul 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 6 Jul 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 9 Jun 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Nasdaq 100
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Gap down · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Spinning top · RSI overbought drop · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Nasdaq 100?
In 48 cases on Nasdaq 100, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 60% of the time and the stop came first 38%; 2% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.