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Forex · indicator signal

Bollinger breakout down on EUR/USD

On EUR/USD the bollinger breakout down showed up 74 times. The target came first 50% of the time, the stop 49%, and 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on EUR/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily1656%44%0%
Hourly5848%50%2%

EUR/USD against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
EUR/USD7450%49%1%
All Forex charts69340%57%3%
Every market11,44941%56%3%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
20183100%0%
2024838%62%
20253057%43%
20262236%59%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the bollinger breakout down is

After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.

Squeeze a spring tight and it can jump in any direction when you let go. Bollinger Bands squeeze close together when prices are calm. After a tight squeeze, a close below the bottom band is like the spring snapping downward.

The full bollinger breakout down lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on EUR/USD

Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them

The bollinger breakout down elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the bollinger breakout down work on EUR/USD?

In 74 cases on EUR/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 50% of the time and the stop came first 49%; 1% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the bollinger breakout down?

After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.