Markets › USD/JPY › Bollinger breakout down
Forex · indicator signal
Bollinger breakout down on USD/JPY
On USD/JPY the bollinger breakout down showed up 41 times. The target came first 49% of the time, the stop 51%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 6 | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Hourly | 35 | 49% | 51% | 0% |
USD/JPY against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 41 | 49% | 51% | 0% |
| All Forex charts | 693 | 40% | 57% | 3% |
| Every market | 11,449 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2025 | 17 | 53% | 47% |
| 2026 | 14 | 43% | 57% |
The last 8 times
- 10 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 9 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 11 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 5 Jun 2026, 10:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 24 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 9 candles
- 24 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 18 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 13 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bollinger breakout down is
After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.
Squeeze a spring tight and it can jump in any direction when you let go. Bollinger Bands squeeze close together when prices are calm. After a tight squeeze, a close below the bottom band is like the spring snapping downward.
The full bollinger breakout down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on USD/JPY
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The bollinger breakout down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the bollinger breakout down work on USD/JPY?
In 41 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 49% of the time and the stop came first 51%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bollinger breakout down?
After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.