Markets › S&P 500 › Bollinger breakout down
US stock market · indicator signal
Bollinger breakout down on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the bollinger breakout down showed up 23 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 61%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 8 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
| Hourly | 15 | 33% | 60% | 7% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 23 | 35% | 61% | 4% |
| All US stock market charts | 729 | 38% | 60% | 2% |
| Every market | 11,449 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
The last 8 times
- 11 Aug 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 29 Jul 2026 · daily · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Jul 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 12 candles
- 16 Jul 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 3 Jun 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 21 Apr 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 26 Mar 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 14 Jan 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bollinger breakout down is
After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.
Squeeze a spring tight and it can jump in any direction when you let go. Bollinger Bands squeeze close together when prices are calm. After a tight squeeze, a close below the bottom band is like the spring snapping downward.
The full bollinger breakout down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The bollinger breakout down elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the bollinger breakout down work on S&P 500?
In 23 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bollinger breakout down?
After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.