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US stock market · candlestick pattern

Bearish marubozu on S&P 500

On S&P 500 the bearish marubozu showed up 60 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 63%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily2642%58%0%
Hourly3432%68%0%

S&P 500 against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
S&P 5006037%63%0%
All US stock market charts1,19537%60%3%
Every market10,77737%57%6%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2017333%67%
2018475%25%
201930%100%
202030%100%
2022560%40%
2023367%33%
202450%100%
20252339%61%
2026933%67%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the bearish marubozu is

A full red body with no wicks. Sellers owned the whole candle.

Think of a sled sliding from the top of a hill to the bottom without a single bump. A bearish marubozu is a big red candle like that: price opened at the top and closed at the very bottom. Sellers were in charge from start to end.

The full bearish marubozu lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on S&P 500

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them

The bearish marubozu elsewhere

Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Silver · Ethereum

Questions

How often does the bearish marubozu work on S&P 500?

In 60 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 63%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the bearish marubozu?

A full red body with no wicks. Sellers owned the whole candle.