Markets › S&P 500 › Bollinger breakout up
US stock market · indicator signal
Bollinger breakout up on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the bollinger breakout up showed up 31 times. The target came first 32% of the time, the stop 61%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 21 | 33% | 62% | 5% |
| Hourly | 10 | 30% | 60% | 10% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 31 | 32% | 61% | 6% |
| All US stock market charts | 877 | 40% | 57% | 3% |
| Every market | 11,287 | 39% | 58% | 3% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 4 | 0% | 75% |
| 2018 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
| 2022 | 3 | 67% | 33% |
| 2025 | 7 | 14% | 71% |
| 2026 | 4 | 75% | 25% |
The last 8 times
- 27 Aug 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 26 Aug 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 13 Aug 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 8 Apr 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 10 Dec 2025, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 18 Sep 2025, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 11 Sep 2025 · daily · target first after 6 candles
- 8 May 2025, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the bollinger breakout up is
After a tight squeeze, price closed above the upper band.
Squeeze a spring tight and let go, and it jumps. Bollinger Bands are lines that hug the price, getting narrow when things are calm and wide when things get wild. After a tight squeeze, a close above the top band is like the spring jumping up.
The full bollinger breakout up lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The bollinger breakout up elsewhere
Dow Jones · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Microsoft · Meta · Intel · Boeing · Sensex · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the bollinger breakout up work on S&P 500?
In 31 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 32% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the bollinger breakout up?
After a tight squeeze, price closed above the upper band.