Markets › S&P 500 › OBV bearish divergence
US stock market · indicator signal
OBV bearish divergence on S&P 500
On S&P 500 the obv bearish divergence showed up 27 times. The target came first 41% of the time, the stop 59%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on S&P 500: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 11 | 18% | 82% | 0% |
| Hourly | 16 | 56% | 44% | 0% |
S&P 500 against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 27 | 41% | 59% | 0% |
| All US stock market charts | 668 | 37% | 60% | 3% |
| Every market | 8,774 | 37% | 55% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
| 2023 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 13 | 62% | 38% |
| 2026 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
The last 8 times
- 14 Sep 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 27 Jul 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 12 Feb 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 12 Dec 2025, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 12 Nov 2025, 13:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 22 Oct 2025, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 16 Oct 2025, 10:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 19 Sep 2025, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the obv bearish divergence is
Price made a higher high, but volume flow made a lower high. Buyers were running out of force.
Imagine climbing higher up a hill while fewer and fewer friends keep climbing with you. You are higher, but with less support behind you. An OBV bearish divergence is when price makes a higher high, but OBV, the running total of volume flow, does not follow it up.
The full obv bearish divergence lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on S&P 500
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · Gap up · Spinning top · Gap down · RSI overbought drop · Doji · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The obv bearish divergence elsewhere
Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Boeing · Amazon · Alphabet (Google) · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the obv bearish divergence work on S&P 500?
In 27 cases on S&P 500, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 41% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the obv bearish divergence?
Price made a higher high, but volume flow made a lower high. Buyers were running out of force.