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US stock market · indicator signal

Bollinger breakout down on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the bollinger breakout down showed up 27 times. The target came first 22% of the time, the stop 70%, and 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily1010%80%10%
Hourly1729%65%6%

SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
SPDR S&P 500 ETF2722%70%7%
All US stock market charts72938%60%2%
Every market11,44941%56%3%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
201730%100%
2025714%71%
20261225%75%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the bollinger breakout down is

After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.

Squeeze a spring tight and it can jump in any direction when you let go. Bollinger Bands squeeze close together when prices are calm. After a tight squeeze, a close below the bottom band is like the spring snapping downward.

The full bollinger breakout down lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · RSI overbought drop · Volume profile bounce · all of them

The bollinger breakout down elsewhere

Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the bollinger breakout down work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

In 27 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 22% of the time and the stop came first 70%; 7% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the bollinger breakout down?

After a tight squeeze, price closed below the lower band.