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US stock market · indicator signal

EMA 9/21 bullish cross on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the ema 9/21 bullish cross showed up 114 times. The target came first 46% of the time, the stop 42%, and 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily4749%36%15%
Hourly6743%46%10%

SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
SPDR S&P 500 ETF11446%42%12%
All US stock market charts3,55442%53%5%
Every market52,90637%56%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016650%50%
2017450%50%
2018633%50%
2019450%0%
20203100%0%
2021450%25%
2022450%50%
2023450%50%
2024729%57%
20253749%35%
20263540%51%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the ema 9/21 bullish cross is

The fast 9-period average crossed above the slower 21-period average.

Imagine two runners on a track, a quick one and a steady one. When the quick runner passes the steady one, it shows things have sped up lately. An EMA 9/21 bullish cross is when the quick 9-period average climbs above the steadier 21-period average.

The full ema 9/21 bullish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · RSI overbought drop · Volume profile bounce · all of them

The ema 9/21 bullish cross elsewhere

Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the ema 9/21 bullish cross work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

In 114 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 46% of the time and the stop came first 42%; 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the ema 9/21 bullish cross?

The fast 9-period average crossed above the slower 21-period average.