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Forex · indicator signal

MACD bearish cross on USD/JPY

On USD/JPY the macd bearish cross showed up 348 times. The target came first 39% of the time, the stop 55%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily5135%61%4%
Hourly29740%55%6%

USD/JPY against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
USD/JPY34839%55%5%
All Forex charts3,81735%57%8%
Every market58,70536%56%8%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
2016333%67%
2017560%40%
2018729%71%
2019617%83%
2021838%50%
2022838%62%
2023933%67%
20243037%57%
202513245%51%
202613835%58%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the macd bearish cross is

Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.

Picture a bike racing uphill that starts to slow down. It is still going up, just less fast. A MACD bearish cross above zero is like that: the rise may be losing speed.

The full macd bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on USD/JPY

Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · RSI oversold bounce · all of them

The macd bearish cross elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the macd bearish cross work on USD/JPY?

In 348 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 39% of the time and the stop came first 55%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the macd bearish cross?

Above zero, the MACD line crossed below its signal line.