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Forex · indicator signal

Stochastic bearish cross on USD/JPY

On USD/JPY the stochastic bearish cross showed up 780 times. The target came first 34% of the time, the stop 59%, and 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.

Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.

By timeframe

TimeframeFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
Daily11931%65%4%
Hourly66134%57%8%

USD/JPY against the rest

ChartsFoundTarget firstStop firstWent nowhere
USD/JPY78034%59%8%
All Forex charts7,36535%57%8%
Every market108,29636%58%7%

Year by year

YearFoundTarget firstStop first
20161540%60%
20171233%67%
20181619%81%
20191070%20%
2020650%17%
20211225%67%
20221828%67%
20232223%77%
20248137%57%
202530332%59%
202628535%57%

The last 8 times

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

What the stochastic bearish cross is

Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.

Imagine a swing that has gone as high as it can and starts to come back. A stochastic above 80 means price closed near the top of its recent range. A bearish cross there hints the swing may be turning back down.

The full stochastic bearish cross lesson, video and quiz ›

Other patterns on USD/JPY

Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · RSI oversold bounce · all of them

The stochastic bearish cross elsewhere

GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver

Questions

How often does the stochastic bearish cross work on USD/JPY?

In 780 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 34% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.

What is the stochastic bearish cross?

Above 80, the fast stochastic line crossed below the slow one.