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Forex · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on AUD/USD
On AUD/USD the atr expansion down showed up 36 times. The target came first 25% of the time, the stop 69%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on AUD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 7 | 14% | 86% | 0% |
| Hourly | 29 | 28% | 66% | 7% |
AUD/USD against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | 36 | 25% | 69% | 6% |
| All Forex charts | 458 | 38% | 61% | 1% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 16 | 38% | 50% |
| 2026 | 12 | 17% | 83% |
The last 8 times
- 1 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 4 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 29 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 16 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 11 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 5 Jun 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 28 Apr 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on AUD/USD
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Dow Jones · Sony · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on AUD/USD?
In 36 cases on AUD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 25% of the time and the stop came first 69%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.