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Forex · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on NZD/USD
On NZD/USD the atr expansion down showed up 38 times. The target came first 45% of the time, the stop 53%, and 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on NZD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 75% | 25% | 0% |
| Hourly | 34 | 41% | 56% | 3% |
NZD/USD against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | 38 | 45% | 53% | 3% |
| All Forex charts | 458 | 38% | 61% | 1% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
The last 8 times
- 16 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 4 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 6 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 5 Jun 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 1 Jun 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 1 Jun 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 25 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on NZD/USD
Inside bar · Stochastic bullish cross · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bullish cross · MACD bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI oversold bounce · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Dow Jones · Sony · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on NZD/USD?
In 38 cases on NZD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 45% of the time and the stop came first 53%; 3% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.