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Forex · indicator signal
ATR expansion down on USD/JPY
On USD/JPY the atr expansion down showed up 42 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 62%, and 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 7 | 14% | 86% | 0% |
| Hourly | 35 | 43% | 57% | 0% |
USD/JPY against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 42 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
| All Forex charts | 458 | 38% | 61% | 1% |
| Every market | 8,283 | 42% | 55% | 2% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 18 | 44% | 56% |
| 2026 | 14 | 43% | 57% |
The last 8 times
- 8 Sep 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 26 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 12 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 28 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Jul 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 10 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 23 Jun 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 11 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the atr expansion down is
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.
Think of a still, quiet sky that suddenly fills with a crack of thunder. After a very calm stretch, when ATR is low, an ATR expansion down is one big red candle that drops below the recent range. The calm has broken, and sellers are in front.
The full atr expansion down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on USD/JPY
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The atr expansion down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Dow Jones · Sony · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the atr expansion down work on USD/JPY?
In 42 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 62%; 0% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the atr expansion down?
After a very calm stretch, one big candle broke below the recent range. Calm often comes before a storm.