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Crypto · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce up on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the fibonacci bounce up showed up 389 times. The target came first 35% of the time, the stop 53%, and 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 4 | 25% | 75% | 0% |
| 4-hour | 94 | 47% | 44% | 10% |
| Hourly | 291 | 31% | 56% | 13% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 389 | 35% | 53% | 12% |
| All Crypto charts | 10,936 | 33% | 58% | 9% |
| Every market | 16,357 | 35% | 58% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | 35% | 65% |
| 2022 | 49 | 27% | 65% |
| 2023 | 106 | 31% | 44% |
| 2024 | 66 | 35% | 59% |
| 2025 | 85 | 33% | 56% |
| 2026 | 57 | 53% | 42% |
The last 8 times
- 25 Sep 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 24 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 2 candles
- 23 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 4 candles
- 19 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 19 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 19 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 19 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 17 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · went nowhere
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce up is
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.
Imagine climbing a hill, sliding back about halfway, then catching your footing and climbing again. Fibonacci levels mark how far back price slid compared with the climb. A Fibonacci bounce up is when price slides back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and bounces.
The full fibonacci bounce up lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce up elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce up work on Bitcoin?
In 389 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 35% of the time and the stop came first 53%; 12% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce up?
After a big rise, price pulled back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and bounced.