Markets › Crude oil › Fibonacci bounce down
Commodities · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Crude oil
On Crude oil the fibonacci bounce down showed up 44 times. The target came first 32% of the time, the stop 59%, and 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Crude oil futures: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 16 | 38% | 62% | 0% |
| Hourly | 28 | 29% | 57% | 14% |
Crude oil against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude oil | 44 | 32% | 59% | 9% |
| All Commodities charts | 160 | 35% | 58% | 8% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 5 | 40% | 60% |
| 2024 | 11 | 27% | 73% |
| 2025 | 22 | 36% | 45% |
The last 8 times
- 13 Oct 2025, 03:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 13 Oct 2025, 02:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 23 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 22 Sep 2025, 22:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 22 Sep 2025, 19:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 9 candles
- 22 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 28 Apr 2025 · daily · target first after 2 candles
- 19 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Crude oil
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile bounce · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Gold · Silver · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Crude oil?
In 44 cases on Crude oil, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 32% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.