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Crypto · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Ethereum
On Ethereum the fibonacci bounce down showed up 476 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 61%, and 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Ethereum (ETH/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 10 | 20% | 50% | 30% |
| 4-hour | 79 | 30% | 58% | 11% |
| Hourly | 387 | 31% | 61% | 7% |
Ethereum against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | 476 | 31% | 61% | 9% |
| All Crypto charts | 11,967 | 33% | 57% | 10% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 94 | 43% | 48% |
| 2022 | 61 | 31% | 62% |
| 2023 | 70 | 10% | 87% |
| 2024 | 91 | 27% | 56% |
| 2025 | 105 | 36% | 61% |
| 2026 | 55 | 33% | 53% |
The last 8 times
- 10 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 6 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 31 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 12 candles
- 15 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 15 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 14 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 14 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Ethereum
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Volume profile rejection · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Bitcoin · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Ethereum?
In 476 cases on Ethereum, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 9% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.