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Crypto · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Bitcoin
On Bitcoin the fibonacci bounce down showed up 388 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 59%, and 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 13 | 23% | 62% | 15% |
| 4-hour | 74 | 28% | 59% | 12% |
| Hourly | 301 | 32% | 59% | 10% |
Bitcoin against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 388 | 31% | 59% | 10% |
| All Crypto charts | 11,967 | 33% | 57% | 10% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 53 | 30% | 58% |
| 2022 | 37 | 24% | 70% |
| 2023 | 72 | 17% | 75% |
| 2024 | 100 | 32% | 55% |
| 2025 | 77 | 39% | 47% |
| 2026 | 49 | 41% | 55% |
The last 8 times
- 20 Sep 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 20 Sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 20 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 20 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 16 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 1 candle
- 13 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 13 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 4 candles
- 12 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Bitcoin
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Spinning top · Stochastic bullish cross · Volume profile bounce · Doji · Volume profile rejection · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Ethereum · Solana · Litecoin · NEAR Protocol · Chainlink · Uniswap · BNB · Cardano · Polkadot · Aave · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Bitcoin?
In 388 cases on Bitcoin, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 59%; 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.