Markets › Mastercard › Fibonacci bounce down
US stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on Mastercard
On Mastercard the fibonacci bounce down showed up 62 times. The target came first 37% of the time, the stop 53%, and 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Mastercard: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 25 | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| Hourly | 37 | 35% | 54% | 11% |
Mastercard against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mastercard | 62 | 37% | 53% | 10% |
| All US stock market charts | 1,504 | 37% | 60% | 4% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3 | 100% | 0% |
| 2022 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
| 2025 | 27 | 44% | 33% |
| 2026 | 20 | 30% | 70% |
The last 8 times
- 2 Sep 2026, 15:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 2 Sep 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 5 Aug 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 10 Jul 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 4 Jun 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 4 Jun 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 5 candles
- 4 Jun 2026, 10:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 22 May 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Mastercard
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · Gap down · Gap up · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on Mastercard?
In 62 cases on Mastercard, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 37% of the time and the stop came first 53%; 10% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.