Markets › USD/JPY › Death cross
Forex · indicator signal
Death cross on USD/JPY
On USD/JPY the death cross showed up 39 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 64%, and 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 3 | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| Hourly | 36 | 28% | 67% | 6% |
USD/JPY against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 39 | 31% | 64% | 5% |
| All Forex charts | 476 | 34% | 56% | 9% |
| Every market | 7,253 | 36% | 55% | 8% |
The last 8 times
- 3 Sep 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 20 Aug 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 16 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 13 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 15 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 15 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 8 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 1 Apr 2026, 11:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the death cross is
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.
Imagine your average test score from the last few weeks dropping below your average for the whole year. It means things have been going worse lately. A death cross is when the average price of the last 50 candles falls below the average of the last 200 candles.
The full death cross lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on USD/JPY
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The death cross elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Ethereum · Bitcoin
Questions
How often does the death cross work on USD/JPY?
In 39 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 64%; 5% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the death cross?
The 50-period average crossed below the 200-period average.