Markets › AUD/USD › Fibonacci bounce down
Forex · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on AUD/USD
On AUD/USD the fibonacci bounce down showed up 95 times. The target came first 31% of the time, the stop 63%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on AUD/USD: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 16 | 25% | 75% | 0% |
| Hourly | 79 | 32% | 61% | 8% |
AUD/USD against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | 95 | 31% | 63% | 6% |
| All Forex charts | 1,036 | 40% | 56% | 5% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2018 | 3 | 100% | 0% |
| 2020 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
| 2024 | 10 | 50% | 50% |
| 2025 | 33 | 21% | 70% |
| 2026 | 37 | 35% | 57% |
The last 8 times
- 8 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 22 Sep 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 1 candle
- 22 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 20 Sep 2026, 23:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Sep 2026, 05:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 18 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 4 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on AUD/USD
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Doji · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · USD/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on AUD/USD?
In 95 cases on AUD/USD, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 31% of the time and the stop came first 63%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.