Markets › USD/JPY › Fibonacci bounce down
Forex · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on USD/JPY
On USD/JPY the fibonacci bounce down showed up 101 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 58%, and 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on USD/JPY: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from September 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 12 | 17% | 83% | 0% |
| Hourly | 89 | 40% | 55% | 4% |
USD/JPY against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 101 | 38% | 58% | 4% |
| All Forex charts | 1,036 | 40% | 56% | 5% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
| 2023 | 7 | 29% | 71% |
| 2024 | 14 | 64% | 36% |
| 2025 | 54 | 44% | 50% |
| 2026 | 21 | 14% | 81% |
The last 8 times
- 21 Sep 2026, 19:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 12 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · hourly · went nowhere
- 17 Sep 2026, 22:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 17 Sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 17 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 4 candles
- 15 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 6 candles
- 15 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 7 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on USD/JPY
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · RSI overbought drop · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · EUR/USD · USD/CHF · GBP/JPY · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · GBP/INR · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on USD/JPY?
In 101 cases on USD/JPY, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 58%; 4% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.