Bitcoin vs Gold

We counted the same 21 buy and sell setups on both. Taken together, the target came first 34% of the time on Bitcoin and 33% on Gold. Pattern by pattern, Bitcoin did better in 12 and Gold in 7.

An average day's range (high to low) over the last 250 daily candles: Bitcoin 3.47%, Gold 2.56%. Bitcoin moves about 1.4 times as much in a normal day, so a stop set by ATR sits further from the entry.

Target first, pattern by pattern

Pattern	Bitcoin	Gold
Stochastic bearish cross	34% of 2,700	27% of 295
Stochastic bullish cross	32% of 2,257	36% of 187
Volume profile bounce	34% of 1,991	43% of 127
Volume profile rejection	35% of 1,849	33% of 122
MACD bearish cross	35% of 1,544	35% of 148
MACD bullish cross	35% of 1,471	39% of 104
EMA 9/21 bearish cross	36% of 1,407	34% of 105
EMA 9/21 bullish cross	37% of 1,402	35% of 103
RSI overbought drop	32% of 926	24% of 131
RSI oversold bounce	30% of 901	41% of 59
VWAP rejection	35% of 600	29% of 24
Bearish engulfing	31% of 527	30% of 46
Bullish engulfing	30% of 512	30% of 30
Fibonacci bounce down	31% of 388	41% of 66
Fibonacci bounce up	35% of 389	30% of 33
Bearish harami	33% of 355	28% of 32
Bollinger breakout down	39% of 311	45% of 22
Bollinger breakout up	39% of 300	41% of 27
Tweezer top	30% of 287	18% of 34
Bullish marubozu	38% of 289	25% of 24
Hanging man	38% of 189	36% of 22

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

Every pattern on Bitcoin › Every pattern on Gold ›

Questions

Which is better for patterns, Bitcoin or Gold?

In our count the target came first 34% of the time on Bitcoin and 33% on Gold, across the same 21 setups. Neither is reliable on its own: most setups hit the stop first on both. Past data, not a forecast.

Which moves more in a day, Bitcoin or Gold?

Over the last 250 daily candles the average day's range was 3.47% for Bitcoin and 2.56% for Gold.