Markets › SPDR S&P 500 ETF › Fibonacci bounce down
US stock market · indicator signal
Fibonacci bounce down on SPDR S&P 500 ETF
On SPDR S&P 500 ETF the fibonacci bounce down showed up 54 times. The target came first 33% of the time, the stop 61%, and 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on SPDR S&P 500 ETF: daily candles from January 2015 and hourly candles from October 2024.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | 18 | 39% | 61% | 0% |
| Hourly | 36 | 31% | 61% | 8% |
SPDR S&P 500 ETF against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 54 | 33% | 61% | 6% |
| All US stock market charts | 1,504 | 37% | 60% | 4% |
| Every market | 17,936 | 35% | 57% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 8 | 50% | 50% |
| 2022 | 3 | 67% | 33% |
| 2023 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2025 | 29 | 28% | 62% |
| 2026 | 5 | 60% | 40% |
The last 8 times
- 30 Sep 2026, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 3 candles
- 19 Aug 2026, 11:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 18 Jun 2026, 13:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 3 candles
- 4 Feb 2026, 09:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
- 29 Jan 2026, 14:30 ET · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 14 Nov 2025, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 6 candles
- 14 Nov 2025, 12:30 ET · hourly · target first after 5 candles
- 13 Oct 2025, 14:30 ET · hourly · target first after 2 candles
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the fibonacci bounce down is
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.
Imagine falling down a slide, climbing back up about halfway, then slipping down again. Fibonacci levels mark how far price climbed back compared with the fall. A Fibonacci bounce down is when price rallies back into the 50% to 61.8% zone and turns down.
The full fibonacci bounce down lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Gap up · Stochastic bullish cross · Gap down · Spinning top · MACD bearish cross · Doji · RSI overbought drop · Volume profile bounce · all of them
The fibonacci bounce down elsewhere
Dow Jones · S&P 500 · Nasdaq 100 · Alibaba · Tesla · Broadcom · Oracle · Nvidia · Microsoft · Meta · Sensex · Nifty 50 · Nikkei 225 · Sony · GBP/USD · EUR/JPY · Gold · Silver
Questions
How often does the fibonacci bounce down work on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?
In 54 cases on SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 33% of the time and the stop came first 61%; 6% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the fibonacci bounce down?
After a big fall, price rallied back to the 50 to 61.8% zone and turned down.