Markets › Uniswap › False breakout
Crypto · price-structure setup
False breakout on Uniswap
On Uniswap the false breakout showed up 26 times. The target came first 38% of the time, the stop 54%, and 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
Counted on Uniswap (UNI/USDT): daily candles from January 2021, 4-hour candles from January 2021 and hourly candles from January 2021.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-hour | 3 | 67% | 33% | 0% |
| Hourly | 23 | 35% | 57% | 9% |
Uniswap against the rest
| Charts | Found | Target first | Stop first | Went nowhere |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uniswap | 26 | 38% | 54% | 8% |
| All Crypto charts | 520 | 39% | 52% | 8% |
| Every market | 703 | 39% | 53% | 8% |
Year by year
| Year | Found | Target first | Stop first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 25% | 50% |
| 2022 | 4 | 75% | 25% |
| 2023 | 5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2024 | 4 | 75% | 0% |
| 2025 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
| 2026 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
The last 8 times
- 22 Sep 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 21 Sep 2026, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 10 candles
- 9 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 11 candles
- 14 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 4 candles
- 17 Jan 2026, 06:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 2 candles
- 12 Jan 2026, 03:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
- 21 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTC · 4-hour · target first after 4 candles
- 1 May 2025, 13:00 UTC · hourly · stop first after 1 candle
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
What the false breakout is
Price broke above resistance, then fell straight back below it. A trap.
Imagine a jack-in-the-box that pops up, then gets pushed right back inside. A false breakout is when price breaks above a ceiling, then soon falls back below it. The buyers who jumped in on the breakout are now stuck.
The full false breakout lesson, video and quiz ›
Other patterns on Uniswap
Inside bar · Stochastic bearish cross · Stochastic bullish cross · Spinning top · Volume profile rejection · Doji · Volume profile bounce · MACD bearish cross · MACD bullish cross · EMA 9/21 bearish cross · all of them
The false breakout elsewhere
Bitcoin · Chainlink · Polkadot · Aave · Cosmos · XRP · Dogecoin · TRON · Stellar
Questions
How often does the false breakout work on Uniswap?
In 26 cases on Uniswap, the target (1.5 × ATR) came before the stop (1 × ATR) 38% of the time and the stop came first 54%; 8% went nowhere within 12 candles.
What is the false breakout?
Price broke above resistance, then fell straight back below it. A trap.