Nifty 50 vs S&P 500

We counted the same 21 buy and sell setups on both. Taken together, the target came first 40% of the time on Nifty 50 and 38% on S&P 500. Pattern by pattern, Nifty 50 did better in 10 and S&P 500 in 10.

An average day's range (high to low) over the last 250 daily candles: Nifty 50 0.92%, S&P 500 0.98%. The two move by a similar amount in a normal day.

Target first, pattern by pattern

Pattern	Nifty 50	S&P 500
Stochastic bearish cross	38% of 261	35% of 429
Stochastic bullish cross	42% of 200	42% of 207
Gap up	43% of 173	40% of 177
MACD bearish cross	41% of 104	34% of 178
Gap down	34% of 130	36% of 146
RSI overbought drop	31% of 95	32% of 136
EMA 9/21 bullish cross	44% of 90	46% of 112
MACD bullish cross	38% of 98	39% of 103
EMA 9/21 bearish cross	41% of 91	43% of 109
RSI oversold bounce	45% of 67	44% of 70
Fibonacci bounce down	39% of 51	30% of 50
Bearish engulfing	34% of 32	38% of 64
Bearish marubozu	50% of 36	37% of 60
Bullish marubozu	42% of 26	44% of 63
Fibonacci bounce up	40% of 35	37% of 41
Hanging man	31% of 36	45% of 31
Bullish engulfing	50% of 32	39% of 28
Bullish harami	25% of 32	43% of 28
Hammer	40% of 25	35% of 23
Bollinger breakout down	50% of 22	35% of 23
Tweezer bottom	43% of 21	45% of 22

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

Every pattern on Nifty 50 › Every pattern on S&P 500 ›

Questions

Which is better for patterns, Nifty 50 or S&P 500?

In our count the target came first 40% of the time on Nifty 50 and 38% on S&P 500, across the same 21 setups. Neither is reliable on its own: most setups hit the stop first on both. Past data, not a forecast.

Which moves more in a day, Nifty 50 or S&P 500?

Over the last 250 daily candles the average day's range was 0.92% for Nifty 50 and 0.98% for S&P 500.