USD/JPY vs EUR/JPY

We counted the same 32 buy and sell setups on both. Taken together, the target came first 35% of the time on USD/JPY and 37% on EUR/JPY. Pattern by pattern, USD/JPY did better in 10 and EUR/JPY in 19.

An average day's range (high to low) over the last 250 daily candles: USD/JPY 0.63%, EUR/JPY 0.58%. The two move by a similar amount in a normal day.

Target first, pattern by pattern

Pattern	USD/JPY	EUR/JPY
Stochastic bearish cross	34% of 780	37% of 743
Stochastic bullish cross	33% of 475	39% of 487
MACD bearish cross	39% of 348	35% of 363
MACD bullish cross	40% of 268	40% of 307
EMA 9/21 bullish cross	40% of 268	36% of 307
EMA 9/21 bearish cross	39% of 265	29% of 306
RSI overbought drop	33% of 207	37% of 202
RSI oversold bounce	36% of 176	41% of 157
Bearish engulfing	38% of 153	35% of 144
Bullish engulfing	34% of 102	38% of 121
Bearish harami	30% of 111	30% of 99
Fibonacci bounce down	38% of 101	43% of 104
Fibonacci bounce up	35% of 115	49% of 80
Bullish marubozu	33% of 101	40% of 75
Hammer	29% of 77	41% of 75
Bullish harami	27% of 74	42% of 78
Tweezer top	25% of 75	34% of 65
Bearish marubozu	42% of 77	45% of 62
Bollinger breakout up	43% of 67	45% of 64
Tweezer bottom	29% of 56	40% of 48
Hanging man	22% of 54	43% of 49
Piercing line	24% of 49	42% of 53
Inverted hammer	47% of 51	28% of 47
Bollinger breakout down	49% of 41	41% of 54
Shooting star	28% of 39	33% of 51
Death cross	31% of 39	29% of 48
Golden cross	39% of 41	37% of 43
ATR expansion down	38% of 42	37% of 38
Dark cloud cover	37% of 38	37% of 38
ATR expansion up	34% of 38	43% of 35
Double bottom	45% of 33	31% of 26
Double top	19% of 21	30% of 23

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

Every pattern on USD/JPY › Every pattern on EUR/JPY ›

Questions

Which is better for patterns, USD/JPY or EUR/JPY?

In our count the target came first 35% of the time on USD/JPY and 37% on EUR/JPY, across the same 32 setups. Neither is reliable on its own: most setups hit the stop first on both. Past data, not a forecast.

Which moves more in a day, USD/JPY or EUR/JPY?

Over the last 250 daily candles the average day's range was 0.63% for USD/JPY and 0.58% for EUR/JPY.