Markets › S&P 500 vs Nasdaq 100
Head to head · US stock market
S&P 500 vs Nasdaq 100
We counted the same 24 buy and sell setups on both. Taken together, the target came first 38% of the time on S&P 500 and 39% on Nasdaq 100. Pattern by pattern, S&P 500 did better in 9 and Nasdaq 100 in 14.
An average day's range (high to low) over the last 250 daily candles: S&P 500 0.98%, Nasdaq 100 1.38%. Nasdaq 100 moves about 1.4 times as much in a normal day, so a stop set by ATR sits further from the entry.
Target first, pattern by pattern
| Pattern | S&P 500 | Nasdaq 100 |
|---|---|---|
| Stochastic bearish cross | 35% of 429 | 31% of 406 |
| Gap up | 40% of 177 | 38% of 240 |
| Stochastic bullish cross | 42% of 207 | 41% of 175 |
| Gap down | 36% of 146 | 38% of 201 |
| MACD bearish cross | 34% of 178 | 40% of 163 |
| RSI overbought drop | 32% of 136 | 37% of 134 |
| EMA 9/21 bullish cross | 46% of 112 | 48% of 109 |
| EMA 9/21 bearish cross | 43% of 109 | 42% of 108 |
| MACD bullish cross | 39% of 103 | 39% of 97 |
| Volume profile bounce | 37% of 99 | 40% of 100 |
| Volume profile rejection | 34% of 92 | 40% of 81 |
| RSI oversold bounce | 44% of 70 | 36% of 58 |
| Bullish marubozu | 44% of 63 | 46% of 56 |
| Bearish marubozu | 37% of 60 | 28% of 53 |
| Bearish engulfing | 38% of 64 | 26% of 42 |
| Fibonacci bounce down | 30% of 50 | 60% of 48 |
| Fibonacci bounce up | 37% of 41 | 47% of 36 |
| Hanging man | 45% of 31 | 40% of 43 |
| Bollinger breakout up | 32% of 31 | 55% of 31 |
| Bullish engulfing | 39% of 28 | 38% of 29 |
| OBV bearish divergence | 41% of 27 | 50% of 22 |
| Bollinger breakout down | 35% of 23 | 43% of 23 |
| Hammer | 35% of 23 | 41% of 22 |
| Tweezer bottom | 45% of 22 | 48% of 21 |
Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.
Every pattern on S&P 500 › Every pattern on Nasdaq 100 ›
Questions
Which is better for patterns, S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100?
In our count the target came first 38% of the time on S&P 500 and 39% on Nasdaq 100, across the same 24 setups. Neither is reliable on its own: most setups hit the stop first on both. Past data, not a forecast.
Which moves more in a day, S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100?
Over the last 250 daily candles the average day's range was 0.98% for S&P 500 and 1.38% for Nasdaq 100.