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Head to head · Crypto

Bitcoin vs Ethereum

We counted the same 52 buy and sell setups on both. Taken together, the target came first 34% of the time on Bitcoin and 35% on Ethereum. Pattern by pattern, Bitcoin did better in 14 and Ethereum in 32.

An average day's range (high to low) over the last 250 daily candles: Bitcoin 3.47%, Ethereum 4.71%. Ethereum moves about 1.4 times as much in a normal day, so a stop set by ATR sits further from the entry.

Target first, pattern by pattern

PatternBitcoinEthereum
Stochastic bearish cross34% of 2,70035% of 2,792
Stochastic bullish cross32% of 2,25732% of 2,071
Volume profile bounce34% of 1,99135% of 1,926
Volume profile rejection35% of 1,84937% of 1,881
MACD bearish cross35% of 1,54437% of 1,530
MACD bullish cross35% of 1,47134% of 1,515
EMA 9/21 bearish cross36% of 1,40739% of 1,429
EMA 9/21 bullish cross37% of 1,40236% of 1,428
RSI overbought drop32% of 92632% of 1,032
RSI oversold bounce30% of 90130% of 916
VWAP rejection35% of 60038% of 665
Bearish engulfing31% of 52737% of 562
VWAP reclaim36% of 54436% of 540
Bullish engulfing30% of 51230% of 472
Fibonacci bounce down31% of 38831% of 476
Fibonacci bounce up35% of 38932% of 384
Bearish harami33% of 35536% of 335
Hammer27% of 31028% of 378
Bollinger breakout up39% of 30043% of 310
Bollinger breakout down39% of 31140% of 256
Shooting star36% of 27334% of 277
Bullish harami31% of 26928% of 281
OBV bearish divergence33% of 27530% of 273
Tweezer top30% of 28735% of 247
ATR expansion down37% of 25741% of 271
ATR expansion up41% of 25642% of 271
Bullish marubozu38% of 28939% of 215
Tweezer bottom29% of 26535% of 226
OBV bullish divergence35% of 26434% of 211
Piercing line32% of 22136% of 196
Bearish marubozu38% of 23747% of 173
Golden cross38% of 20536% of 193
Death cross27% of 19839% of 187
Hanging man38% of 18929% of 192
Dark cloud cover33% of 15339% of 175
Inverted hammer26% of 15528% of 119
Double top43% of 12239% of 95
Double bottom37% of 8639% of 114
Breakout38% of 8051% of 74
Bull flag38% of 6332% of 81
Resistance rejection36% of 7234% of 61
Bear flag29% of 6333% of 67
Support bounce32% of 5630% of 71
Rising wedge32% of 5940% of 60
Symmetrical triangle37% of 4355% of 47
Inverse head and shoulders31% of 4235% of 48
Dragonfly doji13% of 3932% of 44
Falling wedge30% of 4444% of 39
Head and shoulders30% of 3738% of 39
Three white soldiers32% of 2244% of 39
Morning star39% of 2332% of 25
Evening star17% of 2342% of 24

Counted by the Trading Class research engine on real past candles: entry at the signal candle's close, target 1.5 × ATR(14), stop 1 × ATR(14), 12 candles to decide, a candle that touches both counts as the stop. How we count. Past data, not a forecast and not advice.

Every pattern on Bitcoin ›   Every pattern on Ethereum ›

Questions

Which is better for patterns, Bitcoin or Ethereum?

In our count the target came first 34% of the time on Bitcoin and 35% on Ethereum, across the same 52 setups. Neither is reliable on its own: most setups hit the stop first on both. Past data, not a forecast.

Which moves more in a day, Bitcoin or Ethereum?

Over the last 250 daily candles the average day's range was 3.47% for Bitcoin and 4.71% for Ethereum.